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The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has issued an updated forecast for earthquakes in California.Their latest report
says that the risk of a mega-quake is more likely than previously thought:The chance of a magnitude-8 quake somewhere in California in the next 30 years is 7%
up from their previous estimate of 4.7%. The new report takes into account newly discovered fault zones and the possibility that a quake can jump from fault to fault.
While they can't be sure where the next big earthquake will strike in California, consider that the southern segment of the San Andreas Fault — which runs from central California to the Salton Sea — remains a great threat since it hasn't ruptured in more than 300 years.
[And, speaking of the San Andreas Fault, while the new movie San Andreas
might be fun and act as a reminder to be prepared for an earthquake, not all of it is accurate or a good idea. Here's a review from the Earthquake Country Alliance
on the matter. And watch this DROP! COVER! HOLD ON! public servce announcement
with Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson. ]
And even somewhat “smaller” earthquakes are extremely likely in the next 30 years. They say that the odds of a magniturde-7 earthquake in the next 30 years is 93%. And the chances of a 6.7 quake — the same size as the 1994 Northridge earthquake — is 99%.
We can all work together to be prepared, and one way is with the Neighborhood Team Program (NTP)
, part of the Los Angeles Fire Department CERT (Community Emergency Response Team)
program.Join our mailing list
to receive information on how to be part of NTP.
For answers to questions about NTP, or if you are interested in becoming part of the
Neighborhood Team Program in the City of Los Angeles, contact firstname.lastname@example.org